2008 Presidential Punditology: January Winners
Here's the final results of the first round of the 2008 Presidential Punditology Challenge, which included all the primaries and caucuses in January.
Congratulations to our top punditologist, Jonathan Singer. Jonathan is a front-page blogger at MyDD.com and a law student at Boalt Hall. In 2006, he managed a legislative race in Oregon.
Jonathan scored 145 points, correctly picking the winners of every single primary and caucus. His only errors? Picking McCain 3rd in Iowa and Romney 2nd in South Carolina.
Second place goes to Jean Lloyd-Jones of Iowa City. Jean was the Democratic nominee for the U.S. Senate in Iowa in 1992 (losing a tough race to Chuck Grassley.) She scored 134 points, also correctly picking the winners of every single primary and caucus.
All hail Jonathan Singer and Jean Lloyd-Jones! They have the crystal balls that rule them all!
By way of honorable mentions, here are top 54 punditologists - the top 10% of participants:
#1. Jonathan Singer, 145 pts
#2. Jean Lloyd-Jones, 134 pts
#3. Jake Mathai, 131 pts
#4. Richard Luchette, 127 pts
#4. Dave McTeague, 127 pts
#6. Adam Bonin, 124 pts
#7. Alec Oyhenart, 123 pts
#8. Carol Imani, 122 pts
#8. Adam Sharp, 122 pts
#10. Robert Eisinger, 121 pts
#11. Katie Eukel, 120 pts
#11. Eric Adelstein, 120 pts
#11. Michael Adam, 120 pts
#11. Mike Yeomans, 120 pts
#15. Dan Anderson, 119 pts
#15. Bryan Bissell, 119 pts
#17. Jack Roberts, 118 pts
#17. Brain Coty, 118 pts
#17. Josh Revesz, 118 pts
#20. Brian Simmonds, 117 pts
#20. Matt Feldman, 117 pts
#20. Tim Crail, 117 pts
#23. Jake Oken-Berg, 116 pts
#23. Justin Schafer, 116 pts
#23. Nathan Currie, 116 pts
#26. John Turner, 115 pts
#27. Joseph P. Boyle, 114 pts
#28. David Nebel, 113 pts
#28. Tom Wolf, 113 pts
#28. Ben Cannon, 113 pts
#28. Ellen Lowe, 113 pts
#28. Bob Estabrook, 113 pts
#33. Dan Kully, 112 pts
#33. Bill Frick, 112 pts
#35. Jesse Kanson-Benanav, 111 pts
#35. Jay Mobley, 111 pts
#35. Samantha Gaddy, 111 pts
#38. Lori Lodes, 110 pts
#38. Gary A Nord, 110 pts
#40. Maren Giobbi, 109 pts
#41. Terry Webber, 108 pts
#42. Anne Martens, 107 pts
#42. Kenneth I. Wirfel, 107 pts
#42. Kylan Johnson, 107 pts
#42. Howard Park, 107 pts
#42. Adam McCall, 107 pts
#42. Alex Tischenko, 107 pts
#48. Adam Greenspan, 106 pts
#48. Crystal Merritt, 106 pts
#48. wade morris, 106 pts
#48. Jonathan Stein, 106 pts
#48. John Olszewski, Jr., 106 pts
#48. Benjamin Gann, 106 pts
#48. Jason Paul, 106 pts
We'll keep the names of the bottom 90% to ourselves. (If that's you, your secret is safe with us.)
A final word about our collective wisdom. Our collective picks scored 117 points - and were better than 96.2% of the individual punditologists.
Every single subgroup (bloggers, professors, journalists, activists, electeds, etc.) did worse -- except one: As a group, political consultants scored 123 points - and were better than 98.9% of us (and, by the way, better than all but two individual political consultants.)
So maybe there is something to this "wisdom of the crowd" business...
Kari Chisholm | February 3, 2008 | Comments (0) |
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